What are business executives most worried about as they plan for the year ahead?

Complexity

As businesses navigate an increasingly complex risk landscape, it is essential to take a proactive stance and broaden the focus beyond economic risks. 2024 is on track to be the warmest year on record, and so the escalating impacts of climate change must not be ignored.

The rapid advancement of emerging technologies will help to overcome the growing challenges, but they also pose new threats. By proactively identifying and mitigating these diverse risks, businesses can build resilience and thrive in the face of uncertainty. Addressing these issues head-on will not only safeguard operations but also position companies for sustainable success in the future.

These are four of the top concerns.

1. Economic Threats: A Dominant Concern

Concerns about the state of the economy will not go away. Despite some signs of economic improvement, business leaders across the G20 countries consider economic threats, such as inflation, and labor and talent shortages, as the top risks over the next two years, emphasizing their belief that a stable economy is a critical ingredient to survive and progress.

2. Interconnected Risks: Economic and Societal Challenges

The survey also points out that societal risks are closely linked to economic risks, acting both as a cause and consequence. This interconnectedness means that economic downturns can worsen societal issues and vice versa.

Comparing global results with those from G20 business leaders, we find similar concerns, with four of the top five risks matching. However, there's a notable difference: global professionals often overlook environmental risks, whereas the G20 includes them as a top risk. This highlights the need for a broader perspective, as environmental risks are increasingly common and devastating.

3. Environmental Risks: Rising Threats

Extreme weather events featured in the G20’s top five risks, as the fifth biggest risk. This follows a year in which many G20 countries – including Brazil, Germany, Indonesia, and the U.S. – experienced severe flooding, above-average rainfall, wildfires, extreme heat, or elevated hurricane activity.

Environmental threats should not be ignored. The frequency and severity of climate-related events require businesses to incorporate environmental risks into their risk resilience plans to avoid catastrophic consequences for companies and economies.

4. Cyber Risks: A Growing Concern

The survey also shows growing concern about cyber risks among business leaders. In five of the G20 countries surveyed, cyber threats rank among the top risks. Issues such as misinformation, disinformation and the adverse outcomes of artificial intelligence technologies are particularly worrying, as they can undermine trust, disrupt operations, and cause significant financial losses.

These risks appear six times in the country-specific top five rankings this year, up from just three mentions in 2023. It was ranked as the number one risk for doing business in Indonesia, the number three risk for the U.S. and the number four risk for doing business in the UK.

It was ranked as the number one risk for doing business in Indonesia, the number three risk for the U.S. and the number four risk for doing business in the UK.

Remain vigilant

The global system has so far proved surprisingly resilient. Nevertheless, we should not relax our vigilance, and building upfront the resilience to a variety of risks is key. While it is impossible to predict all future risks, it is essential for businesses, governments and individuals to remain vigilant, adaptable and proactive in identifying and mitigating potential emerging risks. This includes investing in research, fostering innovation and developing robust risk management strategies.