Our view on
Economics & Markets
Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.
Our most recent publications
November 27, 2024
Topical Thoughts: Tariffs, Trump and Taxes – More Growth, More Inflation
This “Topical Thoughts” paper discusses the expected impacts of Donald Trump’s election victory on financial markets and the economy. While many of the announced measures will help to support growth, most of the policies are likely to be inflationary in the current environment, making the Fed’s job to bring inflation back to target more challenging.
Explore publicationsNovember 25, 2024
Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 48
- Leading Eurozone sentiment data
turns more negative, likely
impacted by growing business
nervousness around geopolitical
tensions
Some comfort can be found in record low Eurozone unemployment and rising real wages, but hiring intentions are clearly softening into next year. - The unstable French political
situation moves back into investors'
minds as the National Rally
threatens to pull support for PM
Barnier over the 2025 budget
The situation remains fluid, with further pressure likely to build in French sovereign debt. A deal is still possible and would relieve immediate market concerns, even if it simply pushes risks into 2025. - In the UK, both headline and core
inflation pick up in October
Given the reacceleration in inflation, the Bank of England will proceed with caution in the coming months.
November 01, 2024
Monthly Investment Insights
Key developments
- The US presidential election remains a major focus with an outcome too close to predict
- US consumer resilience persists, with strong retail sales and service activity, while the labour market is slowing only modestly
- China’s authorities announce more stimulus, but the scale has fallen short of market expectations so far
Explore our publications
Weekly Macro & Markets View
Weekly Macro & Markets View
Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.
Monthly Investment Insights
Monthly Investment Insights
Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.
Inflation Focus
Inflation Focus
A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.
Topical Thoughts
Topical Thoughts
Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.
Economic and Market Outlook
Economic and Market Outlook
With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.
Mid-Year Outlook
Mid-Year Outlook
An update on the Economic & Market Outlook is provided, gauging developments and projecting how the months ahead are likely to unfold.
Videos and Podcasts
To compliment some publications, a series of short videos and, in the case of Topical Thoughts and the Economic and Market Outlook, more detailed podcasts are available.
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