Our view on
Economics & Markets

Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.

Our most recent publications

April 28, 2025

Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 18

The S&P 500 makes a weekly gain of 4.6% on Trump’s more conciliatory tone and dovish Fed comments
Investors are relieved that Trump still reacts to market pressure, but volatility is expected to remain high in the coming weeks.
China refuses trade talks with the US unless recent tariffs are lifted
The escalating trade war is likely to impact China’s economy negatively, but Beijing seems willing to endure the US tariffs to assert its dominant role on the global stage.
US Treasury yields fall further following an initial spike higher amid concerns around the potential undermining of Fed independence
Bond markets will remain volatile and should continue to act as a constraint on US policy.

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April 01, 2025

Monthly Investment Insights

Key developments

Erratic US policymaking weighs on both market and economic confidence, with further tariffs expected on April 2
Europe steps up as Germany unveils historic fiscal stimulus and the EU exempts defence spending from deficit limits
Policy uncertainty weighs on US stocks while the beneficiaries of Europe’s pivot to infrastructure and defence perform strongly

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March 13, 2025

Inflation Focus

Tectonic shifts are underway in the global economy, driven by the changing geopolitical and global trade backdrop
Inflation should continue to grind lower near term, with goods deflation and slowing services inflation still in place
Central banks are set to respond to any emerging price pressures, which should help to contain inflation medium term
Inflation will remain volatile, however, amid more fractured global trade and defence spending pressures

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Explore our publications

Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.

Explore the Weekly

Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.

Explore the Monthly

A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.

Explore the Inflation Focus

Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.

Explore the Topical Thoughts

With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.

Explore the Outlook