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Our view on
Economics & Markets

Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.

Our most recent publications

March 13, 2025

Inflation Focus

  • Tectonic shifts are underway in the global economy, driven by the changing geopolitical and global trade backdrop
  • Inflation should continue to grind lower near term, with goods deflation and slowing services inflation still in place
  • Central banks are set to respond to any emerging price pressures, which should help to contain inflation medium term
  • Inflation will remain volatile, however, amid more fractured global trade and defence spending pressures

 

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March 10, 2025

Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 11

  • Germany’s incoming government announces an enormous fiscal stimulus package for infrastructure and defence in excess of EUR 1tn
    The announcement is historic and should significantly and persistently boost economic growth if fully delivered.
  • US equities continue to fall as policy uncertainty sends investors looking for opportunities elsewhere
    The start-stop nature of US tariff policies has pushed domestic stocks through critical support levels, with risks skewed to the downside.
  • German bonds see the single largest daily move since 1990, with 10yr yields rising by 30bps
    The increase in yields reflects reasonable expectations of both higher economic growth and inflation, and could rise further.
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March 04, 2025

Monthly Investment Insights

Key developments

  • US economic data indicate a slowing in growth from high levels as inflation expectations rise
  • Tariff uncertainty increases as further threats are made by the US administration, while implementation is fragmented and opaque
  • Rotation accelerates away from US stocks, particularly the largecap tech names, with Eurozone equities the prime beneficiaries


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Weekly Macro & Markets View

Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.

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Monthly Investment Insights

Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.

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Inflation Focus

A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.

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Topical Thoughts

Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.

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Economic and Market Outlook

With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.

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Mid-Year Outlook

An update on the Economic & Market Outlook is provided, gauging developments and projecting how the months ahead are likely to unfold.

Videos and Podcasts

To compliment some publications, a series of short videos and, in the case of Topical Thoughts and the Economic and Market Outlook, more detailed podcasts are available.

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