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Our view on
Economics & Markets

Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.

Our most recent publications

October 29, 2024

Topical Thoughts - The Draghi Report: Move Fast or Break Things

This “Topical Thoughts” paper discusses Mario Draghi’s Report on European Competitiveness. We provide a summary of the situation and the report’s blueprint for the future. Overall, both of these are compelling. We discuss areas in the report where we strongly agree, and those where our emphasis differs. The low growth status-quo is unacceptable.

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October 28, 2024

Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 44

  • The ruling coalition loses their majority in lower House elections due to dissatisfaction with the LDP party financing scandal and perceived higher inflation
    We believe a LDP/Komeito minority led government with cooperation from smaller parties on a case-by-case basis is the most likely scenario going forward.
  • China’s PBoC cuts both the 1yr and 5yr loan deposit rate (LPR) by 25bps
    Though the move was bigger than consensus had expected, we believe there is room to cut the LPR even further in Q1 next year to support the ailing economy and particularly the property market. Measures to boost consumption will also be required.
  • Incoming leading data continues to suggest a weak H2 for Eurozone economic growth, although there are signs of stabilisation
    Differences across member states persist, with Spain leading while Germany lags. Overall growth in 2025 will likely improve on 2024 from welcome monetary policy easing and growing real wages.
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October 01, 2024

Monthly Investment Insights

Key developments

  • The US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 0.5% and signals further easing
  • Chinese policymakers announce significant coordinated stimulus measures, which include fiscal, monetary and property-related support
  • Global equity markets reach new all-time highs while the momemtum of the bond market rally stalls following the Fed cut
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Weekly Macro & Markets View

Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.

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Monthly Investment Insights

Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.

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Inflation Focus

A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.

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Topical Thoughts

Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.

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Economic and Market Outlook

With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.

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Mid-Year Outlook

An update on the Economic & Market Outlook is provided, gauging developments and projecting how the months ahead are likely to unfold.

Videos and Podcasts

To compliment some publications, a series of short videos and, in the case of Topical Thoughts and the Economic and Market Outlook, more detailed podcasts are available.

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