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Weekly Macro & Markets View

What were the key global economic data releases, what is Zurich’s view and what does this mean for financial assets?

Weekly Macro and Markets View, Week 20

Highlights and View

  • The US announces a trade deal with the UK
    Crucially, the US-UK trade deal does not remove the 10% tariff, which is a negative takeaway for other trade partners.
  • Friedrich Merz was confirmed as Germany’s new chancellor, but not before a shocking loss in the first round of secret ballot votes in parliament
    While the historic fiscal package that was recently passed by parliament is reason for optimism in Germany’s economic outlook, this political episode highlights vulnerabilities within the governing coalition and increases execution risk.
  • The US slashes tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30% while China cuts tariffs on US products from 125% to 10% in 90-day deal, rallying global equity markets
    This demonstrates both sides’ intention to de-escalate current trade tensions, a significant development that reduces near-term headwinds for the global economy and trade.

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