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Weekly Macro & Markets View

What were the key global economic data releases, what is Zurich’s view and what does this mean for financial assets?

Weekly Macro and Markets View, Week 17

Highlights and View

  • The mantra of jaw-jaw rather than war-war was the order of the week as a fragile ceasefire held and discussions between the US and Iran continued
    Oil prices fell 3% to USD 90, though the Strait of Hormuz remains closed as the US blockade continues while Iran reneged on the opening from its side due to the US position.
  • China’s Q1 GDP growth rises to 5.0% YoY, beating expectations, but beneath the surface the economy remains bifurcated
    With GDP growth hitting 5%, policymakers are unlikely to rush to stimulate the economy meaningfully, signalling continued sluggish consumption and a lifeless property market ahead.
  • US small business optimism is dragged down by the war in Iran
    Small firms’ capex plans fall back to the lowest since 2009 as uncertainty and higher input costs weigh on companies.

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