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Weekly Macro & Markets View

What were the key global economic data releases, what is Zurich’s view and what does this mean for financial assets?

Weekly Macro and Markets View, Week 3

Highlights and View

  • US nonfarm payrolls rise by 256’000 while the unemployment rate ticks down to 4.1%
    The robust labour market data further reduce investors’ rate cut expectations, but higher yields will weigh on the growth outlook.
  • Global government bond yields snap higher, with the latest move triggered by strong US economic data
    While volatility will remain high, a sharp further rise in yields is not anticipated given economic vulnerabilities, particularly outside of the US.
  • China’s ‘A’- and ‘H’-shares both tumble more than 5% YTD while the 10yr government bond yield falls below 1.6% before recovering
    Investor pessimism is accelerating, which we think is somewhat overdone amid upcoming public support to kickstart the economy.

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