Our view on
Economics & Markets
Macroeconomics and movements in financial markets impact many aspects of our lives. Having a well-informed view of what could transpire can help mitigate the risks we face and uncover profitable opportunities.
Our most recent publications
May 13, 2024
Weekly Macro & Markets View, Week 20
- Central banks in Latin America
continue the cycle of rate cuts with
signs of moderation
As inflation trends downward, the central banks of Brazil and Mexico make differing monetary policy decisions. - The UK economy grows 0.6% QoQ
in the first quarter, the fastest rate
since Q4 2021
A strong pickup in investment helped by a recovery in consumer spending lifted growth in Q1. - Credit lags stocks while US lending
standards imply default rates could
remain sticky
The move towards easing lending standards stalled last quarter, largely driven by small banks. If this continues, it will imply that default rates are likely to remain elevated for some time.
May 02, 2024
Monthly Investment Insights
Key developments
- Global growth picks up to a trend-like pace as manufacturing activity accelerates
- Government bond yields rise as rate cut expectations are priced out
- Higher yields and geopolitical uncertainty weigh on equities, triggering the biggest drawdown since October
April 09, 2024
Topical Thoughts: The ECB in the modern era
On March 13th the European Central Bank (ECB) announced its new ‘Operational Framework’, to the excitement of approximately 10 people! This formalises profound changes in how the ECB have generally conducted monetary policy since the Global Financial Crisis, and brings with it additional tools. The details of these operations are often referred to as the “plumbing” of our financial system, understandably seen as arcane and opaque even by those interested in markets. But it really does matter, and the ECB’s plans are a positive for stability in the Eurozone’s monetary and financial system.
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Weekly Macro & Markets View
Designed to give clear interpretation of the previous week’s macroeconomic and financial market developments. This publication represents how Zurich sees the financial landscape evolving on a week-by-week basis.
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Monthly Investment Insights
Structured to give a succinct view of the investment outlook and economic prospects for the coming months. Focus is on key developments from an investment perspective, with a tactical view presented on the major asset classes of equities, credit and government bonds.
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Inflation Focus
A quarterly publication, conveying the most likely outlook for inflation over the subsequent 12-24 months. Global and regional views are provided, detailing the driving forces behind the outlook. Point forecasts are offered for the major coverage areas, with short-term moves and pressures also identified.
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Topical Thoughts
Investigative research on specific issues that affect the business environment, with expert thoughts and opinions provided on an ad hoc basis.
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Economic and Market Outlook
With a 12 months focus, this publication is designed as a reference document for multiple user groups. It is segmented by region and provides in-depth coverage of both economic and financial market fundamentals, as well as the underlying trends that are observed.
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Mid-Year Outlook
An update on the Economic & Market Outlook is provided, gauging developments and projecting how the months ahead are likely to unfold.
Explore the Mid-Year OutlookVideos and Podcasts
To compliment some publications, a series of short videos and, in the case of Topical Thoughts and the Economic and Market Outlook, more detailed podcasts are available.
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